Bitcoin Dominance is sitting on one of the most important macro support levels of the last 2–3 years. The orange trendline on this chart has been touched 5+ times since 2023 and has acted as a major structural support throughout the entire bull cycle.
Now, BTC.D is testing this line again — and the next move will determine whether we get another leg of BTC dominance or the start of a real altcoin season.
🔶 1. BTC.D at Macro Support
Dominance is currently resting right on the long-term ascending trendline.
This line has held through every major market rotation so far — making this a critical decision point.
A clean break below it would flip the whole structure.
📉 2. Momentum Is Weakening
Several indicators point to pressure on dominance:
RSI rolling over from mid-high levels
MACD losing momentum on the 3D
Lower highs forming since the 65.9% top
This suggests the market is shifting away from a BTC-only move.
💡 3. BTC Relief Rally Will Decide Everything
Bitcoin looks due for a relief rally, but how BTC moves is crucial:
If BTC pumps violently → dominance spikes → alts bleed
(typical liquidity vacuum)
If BTC rallies steadily and cleanly → dominance breaks → alts gain strength
This is the setup for a classic alt rotation.
If BTC goes sideways afterward → dominance collapses → full alt season triggers
This is the most bullish scenario for altcoins.
🚀 4. What Happens If the Orange Trendline Breaks?
A confirmed breakdown below 58.8%–59% on the 3D/weekly would likely spark:
ETH outperformance
SOL and high-beta L1s exploding
L2 ecosystems taking off (BASE / OP / ARB)
Microcaps accelerating aggressively
This would be a true altcoin season, not the small rotations we’ve seen recently.
📈 5. Probability Outlook
BTC relief rally: 80%
BTC.D breakdown: ~60%
Full alt cycle: 50%
Major alt season (2021-style): ~30%
Dominance is weakening, but confirmation requires a clean close under support.
🎯 Summary
BTC.D is at a decisive macro level.
A breakdown of the orange trendline would open the door to a broad altcoin rally, while a bounce keeps Bitcoin in control.
This is the moment to watch for rotation signals.
Now, BTC.D is testing this line again — and the next move will determine whether we get another leg of BTC dominance or the start of a real altcoin season.
🔶 1. BTC.D at Macro Support
Dominance is currently resting right on the long-term ascending trendline.
This line has held through every major market rotation so far — making this a critical decision point.
A clean break below it would flip the whole structure.
📉 2. Momentum Is Weakening
Several indicators point to pressure on dominance:
RSI rolling over from mid-high levels
MACD losing momentum on the 3D
Lower highs forming since the 65.9% top
This suggests the market is shifting away from a BTC-only move.
💡 3. BTC Relief Rally Will Decide Everything
Bitcoin looks due for a relief rally, but how BTC moves is crucial:
If BTC pumps violently → dominance spikes → alts bleed
(typical liquidity vacuum)
If BTC rallies steadily and cleanly → dominance breaks → alts gain strength
This is the setup for a classic alt rotation.
If BTC goes sideways afterward → dominance collapses → full alt season triggers
This is the most bullish scenario for altcoins.
🚀 4. What Happens If the Orange Trendline Breaks?
A confirmed breakdown below 58.8%–59% on the 3D/weekly would likely spark:
ETH outperformance
SOL and high-beta L1s exploding
L2 ecosystems taking off (BASE / OP / ARB)
Microcaps accelerating aggressively
This would be a true altcoin season, not the small rotations we’ve seen recently.
📈 5. Probability Outlook
BTC relief rally: 80%
BTC.D breakdown: ~60%
Full alt cycle: 50%
Major alt season (2021-style): ~30%
Dominance is weakening, but confirmation requires a clean close under support.
🎯 Summary
BTC.D is at a decisive macro level.
A breakdown of the orange trendline would open the door to a broad altcoin rally, while a bounce keeps Bitcoin in control.
This is the moment to watch for rotation signals.
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Informacje i publikacje nie stanowią i nie powinny być traktowane jako porady finansowe, inwestycyjne, tradingowe ani jakiekolwiek inne rekomendacje dostarczane lub zatwierdzone przez TradingView. Więcej informacji znajduje się w Warunkach użytkowania.